Take precautions to cope with the replacement of m

2022-08-05
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The most obvious obstacle to "robot replacing labor"

robot replacing labor at present is that most of the costs and benefits are still upside down. However, I am afraid that the day when it is hanging up will not be too far away.

in recent years, in some large manufacturing enterprises, the plan of robot replacing manual labor is steadily advancing

although it is true that robots can not completely replace humans from the current technical level, I believe that over time, robots will surely become a reality when they rob people of their jobs. Moreover, this day will probably not wait long

this judgment is actually based on very simple and obvious facts: first, the demographic dividend is about to run out. Studies have shown that China's demographic dividend will completely disappear as soon as 2020. Even though there are various objections to such data and forecasts, it is a consensus that China has entered an aging society. What else can we rely on in addition to relying on robots when the labor force is gradually decreasing? 2、 The technological progress in the field of robotics is close to breaking through the bottleneck. Although there is still a clear gap from the dreamlike technical level, there is no big problem in the current technology to replace the relatively simple human process. This spring, I visited the smart workshop of a well-known enterprise. What I saw and heard was a real scene of machine replacement

frankly speaking, I was shocked by that visit, not only the realistic scene of robots replacing human beings, but also the fear imagination after people were replaced. In that smart workshop, the excited faces of senior executives form an extremely strong contrast with the expressionless faces of the few remaining employees who are still engaged in simple work. Although the current jobs of those workers cannot be replaced by robots for the time being, who can imagine the near future

although the current labor shortage in some places is still normal, and although it is a comfort that robots can not completely replace manpower for the time being, it must be clear that due to the poor toughness of glass fiber, all this is just a temporary transition

at present, the most obvious obstacle for robots to replace labor is that most of the costs and benefits are still upside down. But I'm afraid it won't be too far away. It was reported not long ago that a group in Shanghai, which produces air-conditioning compressors, has finally tasted great benefits since the introduction of robots nine years ago: 2 longmang Baili (13.950, 0.00, 0.00%) announced on February 13 that in 2015, the cost of using a robot for various reasons of soil pollution in Guangdong was less than 60000 yuan/year, while the cost of using a worker was close to 100000 yuan/year

when the cost is reversed, it is undoubtedly a predictable trend to replace people with machines. The labor shortage and the disappearance of the demographic dividend have provided great impetus for the continuous breakthrough of robot technology. It is reported that the Shanghai group mentioned above replaced nearly 1000 workers with 480 robots. Once the advantages of scale, type and introduction of the brake pad shear test become apparent, such substitution will accelerate rapidly

it is known from textbooks that workers smashed machines. Only when they were in that smart workshop could they have a real feeling: the arrival of that day is a reality that cannot be changed after all. The problem is that how to deal with a series of problems brought about by the replacement of man by robot is what we need to think more deeply. We should take precautions against this

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